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People who have placed high expectations on Abenomics to move Japan out of its deflationary state will soon be tasting bitter disappointment.

A major reason is that a huge injection of funds into the economy through monetary and fiscal measures has propped up Japan’s gross domestic product. However, that course cannot last for long.

The Abe administration’s package of economic policies is designed in part to raise prices and end the deflationary trend that has long hampered the economy.

On that point, the Bank of Japan’s unprecedented monetary easing along with the weakening of the yen against foreign currencies have improved the profit picture of export industries as well as increased Tokyo stock prices.

The problem, however, goes beyond simply pushing up consumer prices.

If concerns about jobs and social security subside, personal consumption and capital investment would recover. That, in turn, would push up overall demand. Although that is the desired course in achieving a recovery of consumer prices,

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筆者

小此木潔

小此木潔(おこのぎ・きよし) 上智大学教授(政策ジャーナリズム論)、元朝日新聞論説委員

上智大学教授。群馬県生まれ。1975年朝日新聞入社。富山、奈良、大阪、ニューヨーク、静岡、東京で記者をしてきた。近年は日本の経済政策や世界金融危機など取材。2009年5月から東京本社論説委員室勤務、11年4月からは編集委員も務め、14年4月から現職。著書に「財政構造改革」「消費税をどうするか」(いずれも岩波新書)、「デフレ論争のABC」(岩波ブックレット)。

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